With razor-thin margins in both chambers, Trump's agenda hangs by a thread. Republicans hold just 219-212 in the House and need 60 Senate votes to break filibusters. Losing either chamber in 2026 would be catastrophic for America's future.

Current House:  The Ungovernable Margin 

Here is the current House lineup:  219 Republicans and 212 Democrats with four vacant seats because of the deaths of three sitting Democrats and the resignation of one republican.

The number of votes needed to pass legislation in this configuration is 216, which means that as of September, Republicans can only lose 3 votes. 

Special elections will be completed by December for all of these seats.  If the Democrats keep their seats, the Republicans will only have a one vote margin in the current configuration of the House, assuming that Democrats continue to vote as a bloc.  That’s just the math.  It doesn’t have anything to do with the politics of current House members. 

Current Senate: The Ungovernable Margin

Here’s the current Senate lineup. The math is healthier here.  53 Republicans to 47 Democrats. But you need 60 votes to break a filibuster. All significant legislation can be filibustered.  Presidential nominees cannot. 

So, do Trump’s executive orders live in legislation beyond his presidency? Does he get his way without having to make deals with neo-cons, McConnell Chamber of Commerce Senators, and others of the old guard to pass the legislation memorializing his visionary platform? Can Congress pass needed legislation circumscribing the rogue judges and courts? Only if we increase these margins with winning candidates who back Trump’s agenda.

Losing the House or the Senate at this point in history is unthinkable in its consequences.  

The Current Landscape:

Here is the present state of the race without volatile factors like resignations, deaths, a new census, or the current redistricting campaigns.  We note that the Republican Senatorial Committee is presently not even trying to muster the 60 votes needed to really get things done. Sen. Tim Scott said he would be happy with 55 votes.

By taking the present races targeted by each party’s Senate and Congressional campaign committees and using the ratings of the Cook Political Reports, you get the following rough sketch of the landscape. It is a very rough sketch.

The House

The National Republican Congressional Committee’s Democratic Targets and the Cook Ratings for each race: 

• (CA-09) Josh Harder                Competitive
• (CA-13) Adam Gray                 Toss Up
• (CA7) George Whitesides        Competitive
• (CA-45) Derek Tran                 Toss Up
• (CA-47) Dave Min                   Competitive 
• (FL-09) Darren Soto                 Competitive
• (FL-23) Jared Moskowitz         Competitive
• (IN-01) Frank Mrvan               Competitive
•  (ME-02) Jared Golden              Tossup
• (NC-01) Don Davis                    Tossup              
• (NH-01) Open
• (NJ-09) Nellie Pou                     Competitive
• (NM-02) Gabe Vasquez             Tossup
• (NV-01) Dina Titus                    Competitive
• (NV-03) Susie Lee                     Competitive  
• (NV-04) Steven Horsford          Competitive
• (NY-03) Tom Suozzi                 Competitive
• (NY-04) Laura Gillen                Tossup
• (NY-19) Josh Riley                    Competitive
• (OH-09) Marcy Kaptur             Tossup
• (OH-13) Emilia Sykes              Tossup
• (TX-28) Henry Cuellar             Tossup
• (TX-34) Vicente Gonzalez       Lean Republican Pickup
• (TX-35)  Open
• (VA-07) Eugene Vindman        Competitive 
• (WA-03) Marie Gluesenkamp Perez  Tossup

Here are the Democratic Congressional Committee’s Republican targets and the Cook rating for each race:

• (AK-AL) Nick Begich          Competitive          
• (AZ-01) David Schweikert    Tossup
• (AZ-02) Eli Crane                 Competitive
• (AZ-06) Juan Ciscomani      Tossup
• (CA-22) David Valadao         Competitive
• (CA-40) Young Kim               Competitive
• (CA-41) Ken Calvert             Competitive
• (CO-08) Gabe Evans            Tossup           
• (FL-13) Anna Paulina Luna  Competitive
• (FL-27) Maria Elvira Salazar   
• (IA-01) Miller-Meeks             Tossup
• (KY-06) Open 
• (MI-04) Bill Huizenga           Competitive
• (MI-07) Tom Barrett              Tossup
• (MI-10) Open
• (NE-02) Open                       Lean Dem pickup
• (NJ-07) Tom Kean Jr.            Competitive
• (NY-17) Mike Lawler             Competitive
• (PA-01) Brian Fitzpatrick       Competitive   
• (PA-07) Ryan Mackenzie      Tossup
• (PA-08) Rob Bresnahan        Competitive
• (PA-10) Scott Perry               Tossup 
• (TX-15) Monica De La Cruz  Competitive
• (TX-35)   Open
• (VA-01) Rob Wittman            Competitive
• (VA-02) Jen Kiggans             Competitive
• (WI-01) Bryan Steil                Competitive 
• (WI-03) Derrick Van Orden    Tossup

The Senate 

Here are the current Republican Senatorial Committee Democratic Targets and the Cook Ratings:

• Michigan Open Seat; tossup former Representative Mike Rogers has Trump’s endorsement with the Democrats holding a primary for their candidate.
• Georgia, Sen. John Ossoff;  tossup Republican primary.  
• New Hampshire; Open Seat leans Dem
• Minnesota    Open Seat likely Dem

Here are the current Democratic Senatorial Committee target Republicans and the Cook Rating:

• North Carolina Open; RNC Chair Michael Whatley for the Republicans and former Gov Roy Cooper for the Democrats currently lead the primary field; Rating: tossup
• Maine, Sen. Susan Collins, Rating: competitive
• Ohio, Sen. Jon Husted, Rating: leans Republican but former Senator Sherrod Brown just entered Dem race 
• Iowa, Open, replaces Sen. Joni Ernst, rating likely Republican

We will be following all these races in depth. Promethean Action will be visiting Washington, D.C. the first week of October to brief relevant Senators and Congressmen on the policies the nation needs now.

It’s clear some outside the box thinking and more Trump candidates with the ability to win are required for victory.  But, if we win massively, the same phenomenon we have seen in Washington will obtain for the next two years–your representatives will bend to the will of the people, regardless of who or what they were before.

The 2026 midterms will determine whether Trump's American renaissance survives or dies.

Promethean PAC is committed to handing these crucial elections to Trump's MAGA movement, but we can only succeed with your support.

Unlike establishment PACs funded by corporate donors and special interests, we are completely reader-funded—powered by patriots who understand what's at stake.

The oligarchs have unlimited resources to stop us. We have something more powerful: the American people.

Help us win 2026 and save the republic. Donate to Promethean PAC today.